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In a recent [Public Utilities Fortnightly] article, Hans Nissel questioned the calculations in an earlier RAND study and contended that time-of-use (TOU) rates will have no effect on electricity consumption. The authors present a correction to their study, but reaffirm that the findings of their research and of ten other studies support the original conclusion that TOU rates change load curves. They then examine Nissel's principal assertions about electricity pricing and argue that his views are not supported by either facts or the personal communications on which he often relies. The authors conclude by considering the challenges that face U.S. utilities as they move into the less familiar territory of introducing and modifying TOU rates.
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This study reports an initial analysis of changes in relative peak electricity consumption for almost 4,000 industrial and commercial customers in ten U.S. utilities with time-of-day (TOD) rates now in effect. Relative peak loads declined about one percentage point on average when TOD rates were introduced. A small fraction of customers reduced their peak loads substantially, but most customers (including commercial customers as a whole) have apparently not as yet changed their consumption patterns in response to TOD rates. Average changes in load differ significantly by utility, industry, and year, and those changes are statistically related to the terms of the TOD rates that customers faced. Changes in load, while small in percentage terms, are large enough to justify TOD rates on a benefit/cost evaluation. Welfare gains average over $1,000 per year per customer, against a metering cost of approximately $65 per year when new meters are needed to monitor TOD rates.
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This report analyzes the results from three major experiments with time-of-use (TOU) electricity rates for residential customers. It finds that when common analytic and data handling techniques are used, the responses of residential customers to TOU rates are quite similar in California, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. The principal finding--that results of the major rate experiments can be transferred to other locations--should be of wide interest to electric utilities, regulatory bodies, and energy policymakers.
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Electric utilities --- Wind power --- Solar energy --- Rates --- Time-of-use pricing. --- Economic aspects. --- Economic aspects.
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Electric utilities --- Electric utilities --- Renewable energy sources --- Wind power --- Rates --- Time-of-use pricing --- Costs.
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Electric utilities --- Photovoltaic power systems. --- Electric utilities --- Rates --- Rates --- Time-of-use pricing.
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Electric utilities --- Distributed resources (Electric utilities) --- Photovoltaic power generation --- Rates --- Time-of-use pricing --- Economic aspects
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Electric utilities --- Peak load --- Rates --- Time-of-use pricing --- Economic aspects
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Electric utilities --- Wind power --- Solar energy --- Rates --- Time-of-use pricing. --- Economic aspects. --- Economic aspects.
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Utilities and regulators need to know what, if any, effect time-of-use (TOU) rates will have on electricity loads. The question raises serious methodological challenges because no means of measurement is perfect. The authors explore these difficulties and then apply alternative measures to actual load data drawn from European and United States utility systems. They find wide variability in responsiveness to TOU rates from one industry to another and between utility systems, depending on the method used and the length of time rates have been in effect. They conclude that TOU rates clearly change load shapes but are uncertain whether United States utilities will ever see the degree of response found in European data. Published in [Public] [Utilities Fortnightly], May 22, 1980, following several articles that have taken exception to earlier work by RAND authors on this subject.
Electric utilities --- Peak load --- Rates --- Time-of-use pricing. --- Economic aspects.
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